Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19
BTC Structure Tracker
Bearish 8H & Weekly · Contracting Daily · Bearish confluence 62% · Chop / range
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Signals
| Signal | 8H | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Structure | BEAR | CONT | BEAR |
| Seismic | 1.3NEUTRAL | 0.8NEUTRAL | 5.8BEAR |
| OI sentiment | SHRTS COVROI -9.94% | SHRTS COVROI -9.94% | LNGS ENTROI -9.94% |
| RealPnL Z | 0.55NEUTRAL | 0.34NEUTRAL | -0.9DISCOUNT |
| OnChain vs signal | —not exported | —not exported | —not exported |
| Early warning | None | None | None |
Show all indicators
| Signal | 8H | Daily | Weekly |
|---|---|---|---|
| RSI / ADX | 57 / 28 | 43 / 54 | 29 / 34 |
| +DI / −DI | 27.1 / 21.9 | 16.5 / 29 | 9.4 / 34.3 |
| Lev Press | 22 | 21 | 20 |
| RSI div | 2%BULL | 0% | 25%BEAR |
| OI div | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Vol div | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Funding proxy | 6%NEUTRAL | 6%NEUTRAL | 0%N/A |
| Basis | 0.01%FLAT | 0.03%FLAT | 0.05%USDT BEAR |
| ATR comp | 95.3% | 94.1% | 151.4% |
| ADX turn | 0%TRENDING | 0%TRENDING | 0%TRENDING |
| Bias / Layers | 0.5 / 2 | 0 / 1 | -6.4 / 2 |
| GravityWell | — | — | — |
| Thrust / Gravity | — / — | — / — | — / — |
| Reporter confluence | — | — | — |
| Last high / low | $68,698.70$62,510.28 | $70,983.00$65,118.00 | $97,924.49$80,600.00 |
| Invalidation | — | — | — |
| Potential HH / HL | — / — | — / — | — / — |
| Buildup / Buy zone | LOW | LOW68328 | LOW |
| ROC / dist. from HH | — | — | — |
| EMA 1h / EMA D | 67,206 / 70,290 | 67,208 / 70,293 | 67,206 / 70,291 |
| OI bars since | — | — | — |
Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.
Journal note · HOLD
Read the note for 2026-02-25
Strong bounce from 62510 low — price rallied 64232→68296 (+6.3%). 8H flipped BEARISH (lastHH 68698, new LL at 62510). OI Sent shifted to SHRTS COVR across 8H and daily — shorts covering drove the bounce. +DI flipped above -DI on 8H (27.1 vs 21.9). Daily still CONTRACTING, RSI recovered 31→43. Weekly unchanged BEARISH, RSI 29, RealPnL deepened to -0.90 DISCOUNT. Seismic very low across all TFs (1.3, 0.8, 5.8). Daily layers dropped to 1/7. Key test: can price break above 8H lastHH at 68698 to reclaim structure?
Key levels
Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.
History charts
Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.
Momentum energy per timeframe. Higher = a more energetic move in the direction of its BULL/BEAR bias; the dashed line is the 34 alert level used in recent exports.
Realized-PnL z-score. Low/negative = profit-taking unusually light (discount zone ≤ −0.5); high = unusually heavy profit-taking (premium zone ≥ +1.5).
Data notes
Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.
All 46 readings
Newest first. Tap a date to open that reading's full layout.
| Date | Price | 8H | D | W | Seis 8H/D/W | Conf | RealPnL D | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-01 | $77,844.90 | BEAR | BEAR | EXPA | 8.5 / 16.1 / 14.1 | 52% | -0.48 | — |
| 2026-10-14 | $83,425.91 | BEAR | BEAR | BEAR | 4.1 / 3.3 / 4.1 | 57% | -0.39 | — |
| 2026-10-12 | $83,714.91 | BEAR | CONT | BEAR | 8.4 / 3.8 / 5.3 | 35% | -0.4 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | $85,339.02 | EXPA | EXPA | BEAR | 22.2 / 10.5 / 13.9 | 38% | -0.31 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | $84,352.76 | BULL | EXPA | BEAR | 1 / 3.1 / 4.4 | 38% | -0.24 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | $84,539.00 | EXPA | EXPA | BEAR | 13.2 / 14.8 / 17.1 | 50% | 0.06 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-20 | $77,300.00 | BEAR | BULL | BEAR | 5.2 / 7.5 / 0 | 47% | -0.58 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-13 | $80,291.00 | CONT | BULL | BEAR | 14.8 / 22 / 10.2 | 57% | 0.11 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-07 | $80,934.00 | CONT | BULL | BEAR | 3.9 / 12.3 / 0 | 35% | 0.22 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-05 | $81,221.00 | CONT | BULL | BEAR | 19.3 / 27.2 / 14.5 | 46% | 0.2 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-04 | $80,351.00 | CONT | BULL | BEAR | 16.9 / 23.3 / 12.1 | 46% | 0.22 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-03 | $79,177.00 | CONT | EXPA | BEAR | 19.7 / 26 / 14.5 | 48% | 0.39 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-02 | $78,428.00 | CONT | EXPA | BEAR | 26.4 / 26.7 / 12.5 | 48% | 0.32 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-27 | $77,158.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 18 / 10.5 / 0 | 65% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-26 | $79,360.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 10.5 / 24.7 / 0 | 55% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-24 | $77,420.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 12.3 / 9.2 / 0 | 55% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-23 | $78,367.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 21 / 17.7 / 7.7 | 58% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-22 | $77,616.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 18.4 / 19.6 / 14.5 | 58% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-20 | $75,979.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 21.1 / 17.8 / 12.7 | 58% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-17 | $77,240.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 19.7 / 19.9 / 14.5 | 67% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-16 | $74,702.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 11.8 / 16.4 / 0 | 62% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-12 | $71,021.00 | CONT | BEAR | BEAR | 12.4 / 17.9 / 11.2 | 52% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-10 | $72,835.00 | CONT | BEAR | BEAR | 16.6 / 20.4 / 13 | 67% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-09 | $70,639.00 | CONT | BEAR | BEAR | 4.7 / 7.1 / 0.9 | 45% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-05 | $67,341.00 | CONT | BEAR | BEAR | 7.7 / 14.9 / 1.7 | 48% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-03 | $66,633.00 | BEAR | BEAR | BEAR | 16.1 / 19.8 / 1.7 | 62% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-31 | $68,322.00 | EXPA | CONT | BEAR | 11.3 / 12.1 / 8.9 | 50% | 0.1 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-29 | $66,427.00 | BEAR | BULL | BEAR | 34.5 / 34 / 20.7 | 50% | 0.07 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-26 | $69,038.00 | EXPA | BULL | BEAR | 14.4 / 10.8 / 8.9 | 33% | 0.2 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-25 | $71,304.00 | BEAR | BULL | BEAR | 9.3 / 4.3 / 2.5 | 39% | 0.3 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-20 | $70,783.00 | BULL | BULL | BEAR | 18.3 / 21.9 / 15.7 | 67% | 0.2 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-19 | $70,192.00 | BULL | BULL | BEAR | 17.6 / 22.4 / 15.7 | 67% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-18 | $71,289.00 | BULL | BULL | BEAR | 11.2 / 16 / 12.6 | 71% | 0.4 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-17 | $73,932.00 | BULL | BULL | BEAR | 19.8 / 22.5 / 17.9 | 46% | 1.2 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-15 | $72,370.00 | BULL | BULL | BEAR | 4 / 8.9 / 3.3 | 48% | 0 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-14 | $70,738.00 | CONT | BULL | BEAR | 5.9 / 6.3 / 4.2 | 43% | 0.4 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-10-eve | $69,719.00 | BULL | EXPA | BEAR | 12.8 / 0.2 / 4.2 | 38% | 0.26 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-10 | $70,418.00 | BULL | EXPA | BEAR | 5.2 / 1 / 4.2 | 48% | 0.43 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-06 | $68,077.00 | BULL | BULL | BEAR | 19.2 / 15.8 / 19.5 | 71% | 0.3 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-04 | $72,951.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 19.2 / 15.8 / 19.5 | 58% | 0.3 | PARTIAL_SELL |
| 2026-03-03 | $68,089.00 | BULL | BEAR | BEAR | 7.9 / 5.7 / 10.4 | 71% | 0.29 | HOLD |
| 2026-02-26 | $67,420.00 | BEAR | CONT | BEAR | 1.4 / 0.4 / 5.8 | 67% | 0.35 | HOLD |
| 2026-02-25 | $68,296.00 | BEAR | CONT | BEAR | 1.3 / 0.8 / 5.8 | 62% | 0.34 | HOLD |
| 2026-02-24 | $64,232.00 | CONT | CONT | BEAR | 6.6 / 2.1 / 5.8 | 43% | 0.33 | HOLD |
| 2026-02-20 | $67,836.00 | CONT | CONT | BEAR | 5.5 / 2.9 / 6.6 | 48% | 0.36 | HOLD |
| 2026-02-19 | $66,892.00 | CONT | BULL | BEAR | 21.4 / 20.1 / 23.5 | 54% | 0.23 | HOLD |
Confluence patterns
Pattern log
| Date | Pattern | Price | Action |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | All 3 TFs bearish | $83,425.91 | — |
| 2026-10-02 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $85,339.02 | — |
| 2026-09-26 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $84,352.76 | — |
| 2026-09-24 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $84,539.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-09-24 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $84,539.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-13 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $80,291.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-07 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $80,934.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-05 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $81,221.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-05 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $81,221.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-04 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $80,351.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-04 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $80,351.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-03 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $79,177.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-03 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $79,177.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-02 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $78,428.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-05-02 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $78,428.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-26 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $79,360.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-23 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $78,367.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-22 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $77,616.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-22 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $77,616.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-20 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $75,979.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-17 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $77,240.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-17 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $77,240.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-16 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $74,702.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-12 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $71,021.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-10 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $72,835.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-10 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $72,835.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-03 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $66,633.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-04-03 | All 3 TFs bearish | $66,633.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-29 | High Seismic (≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $66,427.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-29 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $66,427.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-29 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $66,427.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-20 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $70,783.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-20 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $70,783.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-19 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $70,192.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-19 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $70,192.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-18 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $71,289.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-18 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $71,289.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-17 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $73,932.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-17 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $73,932.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-14 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $70,738.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-06 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $68,077.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-06 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $68,077.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-03-04 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $72,951.00 | PARTIAL_SELL |
| 2026-03-04 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $72,951.00 | PARTIAL_SELL |
| 2026-02-20 | Extreme leverage (Lev Press ≥30 on 2+ TFs) | $67,836.00 | HOLD |
| 2026-02-19 | Multi-TF squeeze (OI div ≥50 on 2+ TFs) | $66,892.00 | HOLD |
Outcomes
No trade outcomes recorded yet. When actions are logged and later resolved, this shows which confluence patterns preceded the best and worst results.
Pending (1)
Journal note
Exceptional day — $13,898 realized PnL across 77 trades. BTC rallied $68,089→$74,050 (+8.8%) intraday, closed ~$72,951. Multiple sell/reload cycles throughout day using Pulse bot signals + manual Seismic/SwingFlow reads. KEY STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H Seismic 7.9→19.2, daily 5.7→15.8, weekly 10.4→19.5 — momentum tripled across all TFs in one day. OI Sent flipped SHRTS ENTR→SHRTS COVR on 8H and daily — short squeeze confirmed as primary driver. Weekly OI Sent flipped SHRTS ENTR→LNGS ENTR — new longs entering on weekly = structural regime shift beginning. Weekly RealPnL exploded -0.58 NEUTRAL→+1.82 PREMIUM — biggest single-week move in tracker history. Daily +DI (22) nearly overtook -DI (20.6) — daily bearish structure close to flipping, ADX weakening 45→41. 8H ADX only 17, +DI 22.3 vs -DI 10 — bullish conviction building. STRUCTURE: 8H BULLISH confirmed. Daily BEARISH but barely — one more strong day flips it. Weekly deeply BEARISH (HH 97924, HL 80600) but all momentum metrics improving. TRADE ACTIONS: Pulse bot sells at 04:00/05:00/05:36/10:00/11:00/16:00/17:00 EST. Manual reads at 09:41 (+$2,757 BTC +$810 INV), 11:04-11:37 cluster (+$2,598), 14:12 conditional sells (+$3,546 best cluster). Risk reductions at 15:13 (50% BTC on equity bearish div SPX/DJI/NASDAQ + geopolitical) and 19:48 (Seismic + DC upper band + 5m Stoch RSI 95.63 overbought). Evening reload sequence $72,488-$73,148. MACRO: Iran war fears partially eased by evening. South Korea Kospi rebounded 12%. S&P500 futures rising. Oil still +2.4% (geopolitical residual). BTC broke significant channel, trading above EMA24 all TFs for first time since Nov 2025 ATH. Liquidation map: $70k massive long liq cluster below, $74-75k short squeeze fuel above. Asian session holding $73k EOD. Funding flipped SHRTS PAY on 1H — shorts paying to stay short. KEY RISK: OI Div 80% FLUSH RSK persistent all TFs all day unresolved. Seismic still BEAR bias. Weekly ATR 150.2% highly expanded.
Glossary
- SwingFlow structure
- The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
- Seismic
- A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
- OI sentiment
- Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
- RealPnL Z
- A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
- OnChain vs signal
- The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
- Early warning
- A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
- Tracker confluence
- This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
- Regime
- From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
- GravityWell
- A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
- Lev Press
- Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
- RSI / ADX / DI
- Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
- OI div / Vol div / RSI div
- Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
- Funding / Basis
- Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
- Bias / Layers
- The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
- Reporter confluence
- The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
- Reference levels
- Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.
Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.
Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.