Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Contracting 8H · Bullish Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 46% · Transitioning

8HCONTRACTINGDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$81,221.00Reading 2026-05-05Manual snapshot, not live

You are viewing an older reading. Back to the latest

Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureCONTBULLBEAR
Seismic19.3BEAR27.2BEAR14.5BEAR
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 25.5%LNGS ENTROI 25.5%LNGS ENTROI 25.5%
RealPnL Z-0.4NEUTRAL0.2NEUTRAL0.26NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exportedBelow0 / 0—not exported
Early warningBULL?NoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX69 / 3969 / 2950 / 30
+DI / −DI26.1 / 7.927 / 11.417.6 / 21.4
Lev Press545653
RSI div0%0%0%
OI div80%FLUSH RSK80%FLUSH RSK80%FLUSH RSK
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy14%NEUTRAL13%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0%FLAT0%FLAT0%FLAT
ATR comp83%66%118%
ADX turn0%TRENDING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers-13.6 / 3-21.6 / 4-13.4 / 1
GravityWell-20.3ABOVE EQ-7.6ABOVE EQ-0.6ABOVE EQ
Thrust / Gravity47 / 8622 / 6021 / 24
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$77,870.00$74,907.00$79,438.00$74,907.00$97,896.00$59,846.00
Invalidation$0.00risk 8.64%$73,409.00risk 8.64%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneELEVATEDELEVATEDELEVATED
ROC / dist. from HH000
EMA 1h / EMA D80,964 / 76,89180,964 / 76,89180,968 / 76,895
OI bars since———
gravityWell.orbit-20.3-7.6-0.6
gravityWell.gravLn000
gravityWell.signal000
gravityWell.priceABOVE EQABOVE EQABOVE EQ
gravityWell.gravity866024
gravityWell.decay000
gravityWell.thrust472221
gravityWell.adx392930
gravityWell.volMom000
gravityWell.atrEx000
gravityWell.extBars000
gravityWell.devSR000

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-05-05

Reading #37. BTC $81,221 — up +1.08% from R#36 ($80,351). Price continues grinding higher above $80K, now at highest since late January. KEY CHANGES: OI SCORE MORE THAN DOUBLED 10.3→25.5% EX — massive open interest expansion. This is the largest OI build in weeks, showing aggressive new position entry. OI DIV REVERTED TO 80% FLUSH RSK (was 67% in R#36) — the brief easing of flush risk was temporary, now back at maximum warning. Combined with LP 54 EXTREME, the leveraged long positioning is the most aggressive of the entire rally. 8H ADX SURGED 33→39 — real trending momentum now confirmed. This is the strongest directional reading since the rally began. Thrust improved 40→47 but gravity holds at 86 — the tug-of-war between momentum and reversion is intensifying. 8H ORBIT DEEPENED -17→-20.3 — price is now over 20% extended above 8H equilibrium. This is extreme. BUILD UPGRADED LOW→ELEVATED across all TFs — the system now sees enough positioning buildup to flag risk. DAILY SEISMIC ROSE 23.3→27.2 — moving further from the exhaustion zone. Weekly seismic at 14.5 is just below the 15 threshold. WEEKLY ORBIT SLIPPED -0.6 — was 0.1 (right at equilibrium) in R#36, now slightly below. Still near the macro pivot but no longer perfectly balanced. REGIME: MOMENTUM vs GRAVITY. The ADX 39 and thrust 47 say momentum is winning. The OI 25.5% EX, LP 54 EXTREME, OI Div 80% FLUSH RSK, and gravity 86 say the rubber band is stretched to breaking. This is a classic late-rally setup where the move can extend violently before the flush. KEY WATCHES: (1) OI 25.5% with 80% flush risk — single biggest risk factor, (2) 8H gravity 86 vs thrust 47 — gravity still dominates, (3) ADX 39 trending — momentum is real but extended, (4) $80K support — must hold on any pullback, (5) Build ELEVATED — positioning buildup accelerating.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,896.00+20.5%
Price at reading$81,221.00snapshot
Daily swing high$79,438.00-2.2%
8H swing high$77,870.00-4.1%
Daily pivot low$74,907.00-7.8%
8H pivot low$74,907.00-7.8%
Daily invalidation$73,409.00-9.6%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-26.3%
8H invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

OnChain composite details

ComponentScoreRankRaw
sopr000
active00—
newAddr00—
fees00—
hash00—
sends00—

Composite 0 vs signal 0.

All OnChain fields
composite
0
signal
0

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.