Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bullish 8H & Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 46% · Bull trend

8HBULLISHDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$73,932.00Reading 2026-03-17Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBULLBULLBEAR
Seismic19.8BEAR22.5BEAR17.9BEAR
OI sentimentSHRTS ENTROI 15.37%SHRTS ENTROI 15.37%SHRTS ENTROI 15.37%
RealPnL Z0.7NEUTRAL1.2PREMIUM-0.2NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX65 / 3359 / 2638 / 36
+DI / −DI29.5 / 10.731.1 / 15.812.3 / 28.8
Lev Press555653
RSI div0%0%14%BEAR
OI div80%FLUSH RSK80%FLUSH RSK80%FLUSH RSK
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy14%NEUTRAL48%SHRTS PAY0%N/A
Basis-0.02%FLAT-0.01%FLAT0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp81.7%comp 2586.6%comp 10139.3%
ADX turn0%TRENDING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers-16 / 3-8.8 / 3-19.7 / 3
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$73,882.70$65,990.80$74,019.10$65,990.80$97,950.00$59,800.00
Invalidation—$64,278.98risk 13.06%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneELEVATEDELEVATEDELEVATED
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D74,183 / 70,48074,182 / 70,47874,182 / 70,479
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-17

Reading #13. BTC $73,932 — up +2.2% from Saturday ($72,370). Breakout continuing, testing prior highs. KEY STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H BULLISH maintained — HH pushed higher 73856→73883, HL raised 65590→65991 (higher low confirmation, healthy). 8H ADX surged 26→33 TRENDING — strongest 8H trend reading since the Mar 3 rally. +DI 32→29.5 slight fade but still dominant over -DI 10.7. 8H Seismic exploded 4.0→19.8 — massive jump, nearly 5x in two days, but bias is BEAR (price extended relative to internal metrics). 8H OI Div appeared at 80% FLUSH RSK across all three timeframes simultaneously — same pattern we saw on the Mar 3 rally day that preceded a pullback. OI Score jumped 4.06→15.37 with OI Sent SHRTS ENTR everywhere + Buildup ELEVATED + Lev Pres 55 EXTREME — leverage loading up. Funding SHRTS PAY on daily (48%). Daily BULLISH confirmed — HH ticked up 74030→74019 (basically same), HL raised 65590→65991 matching 8H. Daily +DI widened further 28.1→31.1 vs -DI 17.4→15.8 — widest daily +DI spread in tracker. Daily ADX 25→26, stable. Daily Seismic surged 8.9→22.5 BEAR — highest daily Seismic reading ever recorded in this tracker. Like 8H, bias is BEAR despite bullish structure = momentum exhaustion warning. Daily RealPnL jumped 0.00→1.20 PREMIUM — significant move into premium territory, longs well in profit on daily basis. Weekly BEARISH unchanged (HH 97950, HL 59800). Weekly RSI Div flipped 14% BULL→14% BEAR — lost the bullish divergence signal from Friday, now showing bearish divergence. Weekly Seismic jumped 3.3→17.9 BEAR — weekly waking up with bearish bias. Weekly ATR 100→139.3% — expansion beginning on weekly. Weekly -DI 29.7→28.8 slight improvement, +DI 11.1→12.3 slight improvement. CRITICAL PATTERN: OI Div 80% FLUSH RSK on all 3 TFs + Seismic BEAR on all 3 TFs + ELEVATED/EXTREME leverage + SHRTS ENTR everywhere = classic setup for a leverage flush. Last time we saw this (Mar 3), BTC rallied hard then pulled back. Price is now right at the 1H EMA24 ($74,183) which is acting as resistance, and right at the daily HH ($74,019) — major test zone. REGIME: BREAKOUT continuing but EXHAUSTION signals building. Two-TF BULLISH alignment (8H+Daily) intact. The Seismic BEAR bias across all TFs with FLUSH RSK OI Div is the primary risk — this is not a sell signal but a caution flag. Expect volatility. Watching for either: (a) clean break above 74,019-74,183 zone for continuation toward 76-78K, or (b) rejection and flush back toward 70K zone where D EMA24 ($70,479) provides support.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,950.00+32.5%
Daily swing high$74,019.10+0.1%
Price at reading$73,932.00snapshot
8H swing high$73,882.70-0.1%
Daily pivot low$65,990.80-10.7%
8H pivot low$65,990.80-10.7%
Daily invalidation$64,278.98-13.1%
Weekly pivot low$59,800.00-19.1%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.