Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bullish 8H · Expanding Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 38% · Transitioning

8HBULLISHDailyEXPANDINGWeeklyBEARISH
$69,719.00Reading 2026-03-10-eveManual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBULLEXPABEAR
Seismic12.8BULL0.2NEUTRAL4.2BEAR
OI sentimentSHRTS ENTROI 4.69%SHRTS ENTROI 4.69%LNGS EXITOI 4.69%
RealPnL Z0.06NEUTRAL0.26NEUTRAL-0.46NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX54 / 1351 / 2932 / 35
+DI / −DI27 / 16.522.3 / 22.311.4 / 30.3
Lev Press272625
RSI div0%0%18%BEAR
OI div0%0%0%
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy48%SHRTS PAY2%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis-0.01%FLAT-0.01%FLAT-0.1%USDT BEAR
ATR comp94.3%93.7%145.6%
ADX turn64%ENGAGING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers14 / 30.21 / 1-4.6 / 2
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$74,050.00$65,618.49$74,050.00$62,510.28$97,924.49$60,000.00
Invalidation———
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D70,004 / 69,12170,004 / 69,12170,003 / 69,120
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-10-eve

Reading #10 (evening update same day as #9). Price $69,719 — barely changed from morning $70,418 read. Key development: 8H Seismic jumped 5.2→12.8 BULL (was NEUTRAL in AM read) with ADX Turn surging to 64 ENGAGING — subsurface pressure building intraday despite flat price. 8H funding flipped to SHRTS PAY 48% — shorts paying significantly, squeeze fuel accumulating. OI Sent flipped LNGS ENTR→SHRTS ENTR on 8H and daily — new short positioning entering at these levels, classic wall of shorts for potential squeeze. Weekly OI Sent shifted to LNGS EXIT — longs distributing on weekly TF, bearish weekly pressure. Daily DI perfectly tied at 22.3 vs 22.3 — absolute directional parity, coin flip at key inflection. Daily ADX declining 32→29 (was 45 two weeks ago) — trend exhaustion on daily regardless of direction. 8H -DI declining 19.7→16.5 with +DI holding 27 — bearish pressure easing on 8H. Daily Seismic barely alive at 0.2 NEUTRAL (was 1.0 earlier today) — almost zero conviction at daily level. EMAs: 1H EMA24 now at $70,004 — price sitting almost exactly on 1H EMA. D EMA24 $69,121 — daily EMA as support. Weekly basis turned sharply negative (-0.095 USDT BEAR) — most negative basis reading in tracker history, perps trading at significant discount to spot, unusual. STRUCTURE SUMMARY: 8H BULLISH (HL intact 65618), Daily EXPANDING (no directional resolution), Weekly BEARISH (HL 60000, deeply negative -DI 30.3). Regime: TRANSITIONING. The 8H Seismic/funding divergence from flat price is the key tell — internal pressure building while price consolidates. Watching for 8H to break above 74050 HH to trigger daily BULLISH flip, or HL break below 65618 to abort bull case.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,924.49+40.5%
Daily swing high$74,050.00+6.2%
8H swing high$74,050.00+6.2%
Price at reading$69,719.00snapshot
8H pivot low$65,618.49-5.9%
Daily pivot low$62,510.28-10.3%
Weekly pivot low$60,000.00-13.9%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.