Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Contracting 8H · Bearish Daily & Weekly · Neutral confluence 45% · Bear trend

8HCONTRACTINGDailyBEARISHWeeklyBEARISH
$70,639.00Reading 2026-04-09Manual snapshot, not live

You are viewing an older reading. Back to the latest

Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureCONTBEARBEAR
Seismic4.7NEUTRAL7.1BULL0.9NEUTRAL
OI sentimentLNGS EXITOI 9.48%LNGS EXITOI 2.77%LNGS EXITOI 2.77%
RealPnL Z0NEUTRAL0NEUTRAL0NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX59 / 2455 / 2538 / 37
+DI / −DI30.5 / 1418 / 1813.5 / 26.2
Lev Press231820
RSI div0%4%BULL4%BULL
OI div0%1%NEUTRAL0%
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy9%NEUTRAL1%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0.01%FLAT0.03%FLAT0.04%USDT BEAR
ATR comp83.2%74.9%131%
ADX turn8%ENGAGING62%ENGAGING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 20 / 20 / 2
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$69,265.10$65,681.70$71,970.40$64,441.40$97,950.00$59,800.00
Invalidation—$0.00risk 0%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D71,030 / 69,02371,030 / 69,15271,028 / 69,150
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-04-09

Reading #23. BTC $70,639 — up +4.9% from last reading ($67,341 on Apr 5). Iran ceasefire/negotiation catalyst fired overnight — two-week extension announced, Trump suspended attacks, oil crashed 8%, risk assets ripped. BTC surged from ~$67K to $71K+ driven by macro relief. STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H structure remains CONTRACTING (HH 69265.1, HL 65681.7 unchanged from Reading #22) but price has broken OUT of the contracting range to the upside — price at $70,639 is above the 8H HH of 69265. Needs bar close confirmation for BULLISH flip. Daily remains BEARISH with new HH 71970.4 and HL 64441.4. KEY SIGNALS: Daily ADX Turn 62% ENGAGING — matches the Reading #21 level that preceded the Iran rally. A major directional move is being telegraphed. Daily +DI and -DI exactly tied at 18/18 — complete directional equilibrium. 8H +DI 30.5 vs -DI 14 — first clear bullish DI alignment since Mar 6 peak. LNGS EXIT across all three timeframes is the dominant warning: the rally is being sold by long-term holders, not driven by short covering or new conviction. Distribution rally, not accumulation. Weekly Seismic 0.9 NEUTRAL — lowest weekly Seismic in tracker history. Weekly RSI climbed to 38 from 34. REGIME: POST-CATALYST DISTRIBUTION RALLY. Iran ceasefire produced the bounce predicted by the spring-loaded exhaustion thesis (Readings #21-22), but OI structure shows distribution not accumulation. Watching for: (a) 8H bar close above 69265 + BULLISH flip, (b) daily ADX 62% ENGAGING resolution direction, (c) OI Sent shift from LNGS EXIT to SHRTS COVR/LNGS ENTR, (d) hold above daily EMA24 $69,152 on pullback.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,950.00+38.7%
Daily swing high$71,970.40+1.9%
Price at reading$70,639.00snapshot
8H swing high$69,265.10-1.9%
8H pivot low$65,681.70-7.0%
Daily pivot low$64,441.40-8.8%
Weekly pivot low$59,800.00-15.3%
Daily invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.