Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bullish 8H · Expanding Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 48% · Transitioning

8HBULLISHDailyEXPANDINGWeeklyBEARISH
$70,418.00Reading 2026-03-10Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBULLEXPABEAR
Seismic5.2NEUTRAL1NEUTRAL4.2BEAR
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 7.15%LNGS ENTROI 7.15%LNGS ENTROI 7.16%
RealPnL Z0.42NEUTRAL0.43NEUTRAL-0.34NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX58 / 1352 / 3233 / 35
+DI / −DI27 / 19.721.8 / 22.811.5 / 30.5
Lev Press212020
RSI div0%0%18%BEAR
OI div0%0%0%
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy21%NEUTRAL8%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis-0%FLAT-0%FLAT0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp91.8%98.8%145.1%
ADX turn25%COILING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 20 / 1-4.6 / 2
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$74,050.00$65,618.49$74,050.00$62,510.28$97,924.49$60,000.00
Invalidation———
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D69,592 / 69,10769,592 / 69,10869,589 / 69,105
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-10

Reading #9. BTC at $70,418 — pulled back from the $74,050 HH peak. 8H holds BULLISH structure with HL upgraded 63030→65618 (+2,588 improvement). Weekly HL collapsed 80600→60000 — this is significant structure damage on the weekly. Daily flipped BULLISH→EXPANDING (range widening: price making lower lows while 8H still bullish). 8H ADX at 13 (dead coiling), +DI 27 vs -DI 19.7 — still bullish lean but losing momentum. OI Score dropped 15.69→7.15 EX, still positive but decelerating. All OI Div back to 0% — the CAPITULTN signal fully resolved/cleared. Seismic dropped sharply across all TFs: 8H 5.2 NEUTRAL (was 19.2), daily 1 NEUTRAL (was 15.8), weekly 4.2 BEAR (was 19.5 BULL) — major deceleration in momentum/volatility signals. Daily DI nearly balanced (21.8 vs 22.8), market in genuine directional limbo. EMAS: 1H and D EMA24 converging tightly at $69,590/$69,107 — price trading barely above both. Weekly lastHL dropping from 80600→60000 is the most worrying data point: the weekly structure has absorbed the recent bounce as just another LH (with the HL dropping not rising). Basis turned flat/slightly negative on 8H and daily — perp not premium over spot. Weekly RealPnL -0.34 NEUTRAL (was +1.82 PREMIUM on 03-04) — 2-week reversion wiped the premium entirely. Key watch: 8H HL at 65618 is the bull case survival level. Daily EXPANDING is a transitional structure — resolves either BULLISH (new HH above 74050) or BEARISH (HL break below 62510).

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,924.49+39.1%
Daily swing high$74,050.00+5.2%
8H swing high$74,050.00+5.2%
Price at reading$70,418.00snapshot
8H pivot low$65,618.49-6.8%
Daily pivot low$62,510.28-11.2%
Weekly pivot low$60,000.00-14.8%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.