Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Expanding 8H · Bullish Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 33% · Bull trend

8HEXPANDINGDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$69,038.00Reading 2026-03-26Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureEXPABULLBEAR
Seismic14.4NEUTRAL10.8BULL8.9BULL
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 11.45%LNGS ENTROI 11.44%LNGS ENTROI 11.44%
RealPnL Z-0.2NEUTRAL0.2NEUTRAL-0.6NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX44 / 1547 / 1635 / 36
+DI / −DI15.8 / 2422.2 / 23.611.7 / 26.7
Lev Press262725
RSI div0%0%11%BULL
OI div36%SQZ SETUP35%SQZ SETUP35%SQZ SETUP
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy11%NEUTRAL16%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0.03%USDT BEAR0.02%FLAT-0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp76.3%comp 778.2%comp 4100%
ADX turn60%ENGAGING19%COILING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 00 / 00 / 0
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$71,999.90$67,326.40$75,980.00$67,326.40$97,895.70$59,846.00
Invalidation—$69,979.87risk 4.43%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWACTIVELOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D69,337 / 70,10269,337 / 70,10269,338 / 70,102
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-26

Reading #18. BTC $69,038 — down -3.2% from last reading ($71,304 on Mar 25). Price broke below the $70K support zone and both EMAs. MAJOR STRUCTURAL CHANGE: 8H flipped BEARISH→EXPANDING — range widening with HH 71999.9 (higher than prior LH 71774.7) and HL/LL 67326.4 unchanged. EXPANDING is a transitional structure — it indicates the range is widening and direction is unresolved. This is a downgrade from BEARISH (which at least had defined direction). Daily BULLISH maintained but HL upgraded 65589→67326 — positive structural development on daily despite the price drop, the HL is moving UP. Daily -DI (23.6) overtook +DI (22.2) — first bearish DI crossover on daily since the Mar 18 flush. Daily Buy Zone flipped to ACTIVE with invalidation at 69979.87 (4.43% risk) — closest invalidation to current price in tracker history. If price reclaims $69,980, the buy zone triggers. Daily ADX at 16 — lowest in tracker history, matched only by 8H at 15. Extreme trendlessness across both lower TFs. ADX Turn divergence: 8H jumped to 60% ENGAGING (highest in tracker history by far, was 21% COILING last reading) — massive energy shift. Daily still COILING at 19%. This divergence suggests the 8H is about to resolve directionally while daily is still compressing. OI Score jumped to +11.44-11.45% EX across all TFs — highest positive OI reading since the Mar 17 leverage buildup. New longs entering aggressively at $69K. OI Div appeared at 35-36% SQZ SETUP across all 3 TFs — squeeze fuel building. Seismic: 8H jumped 9.3→14.4 but bias is NEUTRAL (was NEUTRAL). Daily jumped 4.3→10.8 and flipped NEUTRAL→BULL — constructive. Weekly 2.5→8.9 and flipped NEUTRAL→BULL — both higher TFs showing bullish internal pressure. Weekly unchanged: BEARISH structure, RSI 35, ADX 36, -DI dominant. Weekly RSI Div 11% BULL maintained. Price now below both EMAs: 1H EMA24 ($69,337) just above, D EMA24 ($70,102) overhead resistance. EMA gap widening — price needs to reclaim $69,337 first, then $70,102 for constructive recovery. REGIME: EXPANDING INFLECTION. The combination of 8H EXPANDING + daily BULLISH with upgraded HL + ADX Turn 60% ENGAGING + SQZ SETUP OI Div + BULL Seismic on daily/weekly = this is setting up for a significant move. The 8H ENGAGING at 60% is the loudest signal — something is about to happen on 8H. Price sitting just below the 1H EMA at $69,337 is the immediate test. Watching for: (a) reclaim 1H EMA24 $69,337 + daily Buy Zone invalidation $69,980 = bullish resolution, (b) break below 67326 HL = double structure failure (8H+daily), (c) 8H ENGAGING 60% resolving — the direction of this resolution is the trade.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.70+41.8%
Daily swing high$75,980.00+10.1%
8H swing high$71,999.90+4.3%
Daily invalidation$69,979.87+1.4%
Price at reading$69,038.00snapshot
Daily pivot low$67,326.40-2.5%
8H pivot low$67,326.40-2.5%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-13.3%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.