Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Contracting 8H · Expanding Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 48% · Bear trend

8HCONTRACTINGDailyEXPANDINGWeeklyBEARISH
$79,177.00Reading 2026-05-03Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureCONTEXPABEAR
Seismic19.7BEAR26BEAR14.5BEAR
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 11.9%LNGS ENTROI 11.9%LNGS ENTROI 11.9%
RealPnL Z-0.08NEUTRAL0.39NEUTRAL0.32NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exportedBelow0 / 0—not exported
Early warningBULL?NoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX64 / 2364 / 2548 / 32
+DI / −DI0 / 00 / 00 / 0
Lev Press404039
RSI div0%0%0%
OI div80%FLUSH RSK80%FLUSH RSK80%FLUSH RSK
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy6%NEUTRAL0%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0%FLAT0%FLAT0%FLAT
ATR comp69%69%123%
ADX turn10%ENGAGING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 50 / 40 / 1
GravityWell-16.8ABOVE EQ-7ABOVE EQ-1.5ABOVE EQ
Thrust / Gravity21 / 6918 / 4629 / 22
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$77,835.00$74,882.00$79,457.00$64,441.00$97,950.00$59,800.00
Invalidation$0.00risk 0%$0.00risk 0%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH000
EMA 1h / EMA D78,633 / 75,86878,635 / 75,86878,635 / 75,868
OI bars since———
gravityWell.orbit-16.8-7-1.5
gravityWell.gravLn000
gravityWell.signal000
gravityWell.priceABOVE EQABOVE EQABOVE EQ
gravityWell.gravity694622
gravityWell.decay000
gravityWell.thrust211829
gravityWell.adx232532
gravityWell.volMom000
gravityWell.atrEx000
gravityWell.extBars000
gravityWell.devSR000

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-05-03

Reading #35. BTC $79,177 — up +0.95% from Reading #34 ($78,428 on May 2). Price continues grinding higher, now above both EMAs ($78,633 / $75,868). KEY CHANGES FROM R#34: OI SENTIMENT SHIFTED SHRTS COVR → LNGS ENTR — the most important change. All three TFs now show longs entering, not just shorts covering. This is a progression in the sentiment cycle: shorts entered → shorts covered → longs now entering. Fresh directional capital is being deployed to the long side. LEVERAGE PRESSURE JUMPED 34→40 — building across 8H and daily. Combined with LNGS ENTR, this means new leveraged longs are opening. Not extreme yet but approaching elevated territory. Watch for LP>50 as a caution signal. 8H SEISMIC DROPPED 26.4→19.7 — selling pressure momentum continues to decelerate. Still BEAR bias but fading — the sell-side exhaustion signal from R#34 is following through. Daily Seismic steady at 26. 8H GRAV ORBIT DEEPENED -10.8→-16.8 — price has moved significantly further above 8H equilibrium. Gravity is 69 (high) vs thrust 21 (low) — the gravitational pull back toward equilibrium is intensifying. This is the key risk: price is extended above the 8H GravityWell and the pull-back force is strong. DAILY GRAV ORBIT DEEPENED -3.2→-7.0 — same dynamic on the daily. Extended above equilibrium with gravity 46 vs thrust 18. Less extreme than 8H but building. DAILY HH SLIGHT NEW HIGH 79,438→79,457 — marginal new HH on the daily. The EXPANDING structure is confirmed and progressing. This is constructive but the move is tentative. STRUCTURES UNCHANGED — 8H CONTRACTING, Daily EXPANDING, Weekly BEARISH. No structural breaks in either direction. REALPNL IMPROVED on 8H — from -0.29 to -0.08. Moving toward zero from below suggests profit-takers are getting absorbed. Daily and weekly steady. REGIME: CAUTIOUS CONTINUATION. The LNGS ENTR shift is constructive — fresh long capital replacing exiting shorts. But the 8H GravityWell extension at -16.8 with gravity 69 is a warning that a pullback toward 8H equilibrium is overdue. The daily marginal new HH keeps the EXPANDING structure alive. KEY WATCHES: (1) 8H GravityWell reversion — orbit -16.8 is extended, expect a pullback toward $77,800-78,200, (2) LP at 40 and rising — if longs get overleveraged a flush could reset the move, (3) Daily HH $79,457 needs to hold as support on any pullback to confirm structural progress, (4) Weekly orbit -1.5 still near equilibrium — macro decision point unresolved, (5) Seismic BEAR fading on 8H — if it crosses below 15 the sell-side exhaustion is complete.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,950.00+23.7%
Daily swing high$79,457.00+0.4%
Price at reading$79,177.00snapshot
8H swing high$77,835.00-1.7%
8H pivot low$74,882.00-5.4%
Daily pivot low$64,441.00-18.6%
Weekly pivot low$59,800.00-24.5%
8H invalidation$0.00-100.0%
Daily invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

OnChain composite details

ComponentScoreRankRaw
sopr000
active00—
newAddr00—
fees00—
hash00—
sends00—

Composite 0 vs signal 0.

All OnChain fields
composite
0
signal
0

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.