Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Contracting 8H · Bearish Daily & Weekly · Neutral confluence 52% · Bear trend

8HCONTRACTINGDailyBEARISHWeeklyBEARISH
$71,021.00Reading 2026-04-12Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureCONTBEARBEAR
Seismic12.4BULL17.9BULL11.2BULL
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 5.13%LNGS ENTROI 5.13%LNGS ENTROI 5.05%
RealPnL Z0NEUTRAL0NEUTRAL0NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX52 / 3054 / 1538 / 35
+DI / −DI26.4 / 1922.3 / 19.314.3 / 25.7
Lev Press191918
RSI div1%BEAR0%0%
OI div61%CAPITULTN61%CAPITULTN61%CAPITULTN
Vol div0%12%EXHAUST0%
Funding proxy0%NEUTRAL3%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis-0.03%FLAT0%FLAT0.01%USDT BEAR
ATR comp77.2%comp 670.2%comp 20123.4%
ADX turn0%TRENDING20%COILING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 00 / 00 / 0
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$69,265.10$65,681.70$71,999.90$64,934.50$97,895.70$59,846.00
Invalidation—$0.00risk 0%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D71,340 / 69,98271,338 / 69,98071,340 / 69,982
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-04-12

Reading #25. BTC $71,021 — down -2.5% from Reading #24 ($72,835 on Apr 10). The breakout attempt above $72-73K from Reading #24 has faded. Price pulled back to the $71K zone, sitting just above the daily HH of $71,999 — that potential daily BEARISH→BULLISH flip flagged in R#24 has NOT confirmed. STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H remains CONTRACTING but the HH/HL values have shifted — HH now 69,265 (down from 69,218) and HL 65,681 (up from 65,644). The 8H SwingFlow shows Early Warn BULL? flag and Potential HL at $64,368 — suggesting the 8H is watching for a confirmed higher low to potentially flip bullish. Daily remains BEARISH at HH 71,999 / HL 64,934 — virtually unchanged. Weekly BEARISH at HH 97,895 / HL 59,846 — unchanged. KEY SHIFT — SEISMIC BIAS FLIPPED ALL BULL: The most significant change from R#24 is the Seismic bias. R#24 had ALL BEAR across all three TFs. R#25 now shows ALL BULL (8H: 12.4 BULL, Daily: 17.9 BULL, Weekly: 11.2 BULL). This is a major internal shift — price pulled back but the internal momentum is now bullish-biased across every timeframe. OI Div shifted from 67% FLUSH RSK to 61% CAPITULTN across all three TFs — the flush risk has been realized (price dropped from $72.8K to $71K), and on-chain is now reading this as capitulation. Combined with the Seismic flip to BULL, this reads as: weak hands have been flushed, strong hands are accumulating. OI Sent flipped from LNGS EXIT (R#24) back to LNGS ENTR across all TFs — longs are re-entering after the pullback. This is the opposite of R#24's distribution signal. ADX Daily dropped from 16 to 15 with ADX Turn shifting from ENGAGING 55% to COILING 20% — the violent directional move flagged in R#23-24 has not yet resolved; instead the daily is re-coiling for another attempt. Vol Div Daily: 12% EXHAUST ▲ — volume exhaustion appearing on the daily, suggesting the selling pressure on this pullback is drying up. GravityWell 8H: Price ABOVE EQ, Gravity 5, Decay 0 — minimal gravitational overhead. Weekly: Price BELOW EQ -10.15%, Gravity 45, Decay 0 — significant weekly gravity still pulling price down but the 8H is free. OnChain: 8H shows HEALTHY 33.1 (SOPR 1.0038 at 87th percentile, Active addresses 658K at 83%), while Weekly shows WEAK 22.2 with Signal deeply negative at -31.9 — the short-term on-chain picture is healthier than the macro, typical of a recovery bounce within a larger bear structure. REGIME: PULLBACK ACCUMULATION — price faded from the R#24 breakout but internals have quietly flipped bullish. Seismic ALL BULL + OI CAPITULTN + LNGS ENTR + Vol EXHAUST on the selling = the pullback is being bought. The 8H Early Warn BULL? flag is the first bullish early warning on any timeframe since the tracker began. Key watch: (a) daily close above $72K to confirm the BEARISH→BULLISH flip still pending from R#24, (b) whether the 8H CONTRACTING range resolves up with the BULL? early warning, (c) daily ADX COILING 20% — next ENGAGING reading will signal the move direction, (d) weekly gravity at 45 is the main structural headwind.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.70+37.8%
Daily swing high$71,999.90+1.4%
Price at reading$71,021.00snapshot
8H swing high$69,265.10-2.5%
8H pivot low$65,681.70-7.5%
Daily pivot low$64,934.50-8.6%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-15.7%
Daily invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.