Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bearish 8H & Weekly · Bullish Daily · Neutral confluence 39% · Bull trend

8HBEARISHDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$71,304.00Reading 2026-03-25Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBEARBULLBEAR
Seismic9.3NEUTRAL4.3NEUTRAL2.5NEUTRAL
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 5.22%LNGS ENTROI 5.22%LNGS EXITOI 5.22%
RealPnL Z0NEUTRAL0.3NEUTRAL-0.3NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX55 / 1453 / 1737 / 36
+DI / −DI19.9 / 1724.3 / 19.811.7 / 26.7
Lev Press202219
RSI div0%0%11%BULL
OI div0%0%0%
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy16%NEUTRAL14%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0.03%FLAT0.01%FLAT-0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp75.8%comp 876.7%comp 7100%
ADX turn21%COILING16%COILING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 00 / 00 / 0
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$71,774.70$67,326.40$75,980.00$65,589.80$97,895.70$59,846.00
Invalidation—$64,278.00risk 9.85%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D71,026 / 70,39671,026 / 70,39671,024 / 70,394
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-25

Reading #17. BTC $71,304 — up +0.7% from last reading ($70,783 on Mar 20). Five days since last update — price has been rangebound $70K-$72K. MAJOR STRUCTURAL CHANGE: 8H structure flipped BULLISH→BEARISH. New 8H structure: LH 71774.7, LL 67326.4 — the $75,980 HH is gone, replaced by a lower high. This is the first 8H BEARISH reading since Feb 28 (reading #8). Daily BULLISH still maintained with HH 75980, HL 65589 — higher timeframe structure intact. Weekly BEARISH unchanged. CRITICAL DIVERGENCE: 8H structure broke down but daily structure held — this creates a timeframe tension. Resolution will be binary: either 8H rebuilds bullish (reclaim above 71774) or daily follows 8H into bearish (break below 65589). ADX COLLAPSED across all lower TFs: 8H ADX crashed 23→14 (lowest in tracker history), daily ADX 23→17 (lowest in tracker history). Both well below 20 — extreme trendlessness. ADX Turn COILING at 21% on 8H (highest COILING reading ever in tracker) and 16% on daily — massive energy compression. LEVERAGE NORMALIZED: Lev Pres dropped from 32-34 EXTREME range to 20-22 NORMAL — cleanest leverage reading since tracking began. The overleveraged condition that persisted through readings #15-#16 has fully unwound. OI DIV RESET: OI Div dropped from 68% CAPITULTN to 0% across all TFs — the capitulation signal exhausted. Fresh OI cycle beginning. OI Score moderated from +8.88% EX to +5.22% HI — still positive but lower intensity. SEISMIC DROPPED TO LOWEST IN TRACKER: 8H 18.3→9.3, daily 21.9→4.3, weekly 15.7→2.5 — all three TFs showing minimal internal pressure. All three TFs flipped BULL→NEUTRAL bias simultaneously. Weekly RSI Div shifted 14% BULL→11% BULL — still present but weakening. FUNDING NORMALIZED: Daily funding dropped 52% SHRTS PAY→14% NEUTRAL — shorts no longer paying premium. The extreme short squeeze fuel from readings #15-#16 dissipated. EMA POSITIONING: Price ($71,304) sitting above both 1H EMA24 ($71,026) and D EMA24 ($70,396) — still in constructive position despite 8H structure failure. REGIME: POST-COIL RESET. The deep compression from readings #15-#16 resolved sideways rather than directionally. All energy indicators (Seismic, ADX, OI Div, leverage) have reset to baseline. This is a blank canvas. The 8H BEARISH flip is the headline risk, but daily BULLISH + price above both EMAs + NORMAL leverage = no panic. Watching for: (a) 8H reclaim above LH 71774 = bullish resolution, (b) daily +DI crossing below -DI = bearish confirmation across 2 TFs, (c) new OI Div signal emergence = next directional catalyst.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.70+37.3%
Daily swing high$75,980.00+6.6%
8H swing high$71,774.70+0.7%
Price at reading$71,304.00snapshot
8H pivot low$67,326.40-5.6%
Daily pivot low$65,589.80-8.0%
Daily invalidation$64,278.00-9.9%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-16.1%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.