Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Contracting 8H · Bullish Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 46% · Transitioning

8HCONTRACTINGDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$80,351.00Reading 2026-05-04Manual snapshot, not live

You are viewing an older reading. Back to the latest

Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureCONTBULLBEAR
Seismic16.9BEAR23.3BEAR12.1BEAR
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 10.3%LNGS ENTROI 10.3%LNGS ENTROI 10.3%
RealPnL Z-0.28NEUTRAL0.22NEUTRAL0.11NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exportedBelow0 / 0—not exported
Early warningBULL?NoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX69 / 3367 / 2749 / 30
+DI / −DI26.1 / 7.927 / 11.417.6 / 21.4
Lev Press525251
RSI div1%BEAR33%BEAR0%
OI div67%FLUSH RSK67%FLUSH RSK67%FLUSH RSK
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy10%NEUTRAL0%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0%FLAT0%FLAT0%FLAT
ATR comp82.4%comp 2366.7%comp 27116.7%
ADX turn0%TRENDING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers-13.6 / 4-21.6 / 4-13.4 / 1
GravityWell-17ABOVE EQ-7.1ABOVE EQ0.1ABOVE EQ
Thrust / Gravity40 / 8621 / 5721 / 18
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$77,870.00$74,907.00$79,438.00$74,907.00$97,896.00$59,846.00
Invalidation$0.00risk 8.64%$73,409.00risk 8.64%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH000
EMA 1h / EMA D79,788 / 76,47379,788 / 76,47379,788 / 76,473
OI bars since———
gravityWell.orbit-17-7.10.1
gravityWell.gravLn000
gravityWell.signal000
gravityWell.priceABOVE EQABOVE EQABOVE EQ
gravityWell.gravity865718
gravityWell.decay000
gravityWell.thrust402121
gravityWell.adx332730
gravityWell.volMom000
gravityWell.atrEx000
gravityWell.extBars000
gravityWell.devSR000

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-05-04

Reading #36. BTC $80,351 — up +1.48% from R#35 ($79,177). Price broke $80K for the first time since late January. KEY CHANGES: LEVERAGE PRESSURE SURGED 40→52 EXTREME across all TFs — the most aggressive long positioning since the rally began. Combined with LNGS ENTR this is a double-edged signal: strong conviction but elevated flush risk. 8H GRAVITY ORBIT DEEPENED -16.8→-17 with gravity 86 (very high) — price is extremely extended above 8H equilibrium. Thrust improved to 40 (from 21) showing momentum is still driving, but gravity at 86 is the highest reading in weeks. DAILY STRUCTURE CONFIRMED BULLISH (was EXPANDING) — HH at 79,438 holding, HL at 74,907. This is constructive. 8H still CONTRACTING with BULL? early warning. Daily RSI DIVERGENCE APPEARED at 33% BEAR — first divergence signal on the daily since the rally started. Price making higher highs but RSI fading. Not a sell signal alone but a caution flag. 8H SEISMIC DROPPED FURTHER 19.7→16.9 — approaching the 15 threshold where sell-side exhaustion completes. Weekly seismic at 12.1 already below that level. OI DIV EASED 80→67% FLUSH RSK — still elevated but the extreme positioning has moderated slightly. ATR COMP IMPROVED 69→82.4% on 8H — volatility still compressed but less so. Weekly ATR at 117% shows macro vol is expanding. WEEKLY GRAV ORBIT NEAR ZERO at 0.1 — price is right at weekly equilibrium. This is the macro pivot point. REGIME: CAUTIOUS CONTINUATION with elevated risk. The $80K break is significant but leverage at 52 EXTREME with 8H gravity at 86 and daily RSI divergence forming creates a setup for a sharp pullback. The weekly orbit at 0.1 means this is the macro decision point. KEY WATCHES: (1) LP 52 EXTREME — leveraged long flush risk is real, (2) 8H gravity 86 vs thrust 40 — reversion pull intensifying, (3) Daily RSI div 33% — monitor for acceleration, (4) $80K as support on any pullback — needs to hold for structure, (5) Weekly orbit 0.1 — right at equilibrium, directional resolution imminent.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,896.00+21.8%
Price at reading$80,351.00snapshot
Daily swing high$79,438.00-1.1%
8H swing high$77,870.00-3.1%
Daily pivot low$74,907.00-6.8%
8H pivot low$74,907.00-6.8%
Daily invalidation$73,409.00-8.6%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-25.5%
8H invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

OnChain composite details

ComponentScoreRankRaw
sopr000
active00—
newAddr00—
fees00—
hash00—
sends00—

Composite 0 vs signal 0.

All OnChain fields
composite
0
signal
0

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.