Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bearish structure on all 3 timeframes · Bearish confluence 62% · Bull trend

8HBEARISHDailyBEARISHWeeklyBEARISH
$66,633.00Reading 2026-04-03Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBEARBEARBEAR
Seismic16.1BULL19.8BULL1.7NEUTRAL
OI sentimentSHRTS ENTROI 12.75%SHRTS ENTROI 12.74%LNGS EXITOI 12.73%
RealPnL Z-0.3NEUTRAL0NEUTRAL-0.5NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX42 / 1843 / 1533 / 36
+DI / −DI17 / 25.718.9 / 26.111.1 / 27.1
Lev Press323129
RSI div39%BULL0%7%BULL
OI div0%0%0%
Vol div0%71%EXHAUST0%
Funding proxy38%SHRTS PAY25%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0.04%USDT BEAR0.04%USDT BEAR0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp77.5%comp 574.5%comp 11100%
ADX turn14%COILING58%ENGAGING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers15.4 / 34.8 / 3-0.1 / 2
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$69,265.10$64,934.50$71,999.90$64,934.50$97,895.70$59,846.00
Invalidation—$0.00risk 0%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D66,839 / 68,62366,839 / 68,62266,840 / 68,623
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-04-03

Reading #21. BTC $66,633 — down -2.5% from last reading ($68,322 on Mar 31). Price has faded back below both EMAs after the post-squeeze bounce fizzled. MAJOR STRUCTURAL CHANGE: Daily flipped CONTRACTING→BEARISH — this is the first daily BEARISH reading since Mar 6 (Reading #8). All three timeframes are now BEARISH simultaneously for the first time since Feb 24 (Reading #5). 8H structure: BEARISH maintained from Reading #19, but HH dropped 71999.9→69265.1 (LH tightening) while HL/LL at 64934.5 unchanged. 8H forming a descending range — lower highs compressing toward the LL. Daily BEARISH confirmed with HH 71999.9 and HL/LL 64934.5. The daily Buy Zone from Reading #19 ($64,306 invalidation) is no longer active. Weekly BEARISH unchanged (HH 97895.7, HL 59846). KEY SIGNALS: 8H RSI Div surged to 39% BULL ▲ — highest bullish RSI divergence reading in tracker history on any timeframe. Price making lower lows/lower highs while RSI is diverging upward — textbook bullish divergence. 8H Funding at 38% SHRTS PAY — shorts paying significantly to stay short, squeeze fuel building. 8H Seismic 16.1 BULL — internal pressure remains constructive despite bearish structure. Daily Vol Div hit 71% EXHAUST ▲ — highest Vol Div reading in tracker history. Volume is exhausting on the sell side, suggesting sellers are running out of ammunition. Daily ADX Turn exploded to 58% ENGAGING — second highest reading ever (behind 60% on Mar 26 Reading #18). A massive directional resolution is imminent on the daily. Daily Seismic 19.8 BULL — near the highest daily Seismic readings (22.5 on Mar 17). OI Div reset to 0% across all TFs — the 100% SQZ SETUP from Reading #19 and 40% COVR RLLY from Reading #20 are fully consumed. Fresh OI cycle beginning. OI Score at +12.73-12.75% EX across all TFs — new longs entering but OI Sent on 8H/daily is SHRTS ENTR (new shorts also entering). Weekly OI Sent LNGS EXIT — longs exiting on weekly, bearish pressure from longer-term holders. ADX extremely low: 8H at 18, daily at 15 (tied for lowest ever in tracker). Zero directional conviction despite all three TFs being BEARISH — the structure labels say bearish but the internal energy says directionless compression. Price sitting just below 1H EMA24 ($66,839) — needs to reclaim. D EMA24 at $68,623 is significant overhead resistance. Weekly RealPnL -0.50 approaching DISCOUNT territory. PATTERN CONFLUENCE: Three-TF BEARISH alignment + 39% BULL RSI Div + 71% Vol Div EXHAUST + 58% ADX Turn ENGAGING + SHRTS PAY funding + BULL Seismic on 8H/daily = textbook bearish exhaustion setup. The structure says down but every internal metric says the selling is exhausted and a squeeze/reversal is being loaded. This mirrors the Reading #19 setup (all bearish structure + extreme squeeze signals → produced $3K bounce). The difference this time: the OI Div is at 0% (not 100% like #19), so the squeeze fuel is earlier-stage. The 58% ENGAGING on daily is the loudest signal — when this resolves, it will be violent. Watching for: (a) hold of 64934 LL + reclaim 66839 1H EMA = squeeze ignition, (b) break below 64934 = structure damage accelerates toward 62-63K, (c) daily ENGAGING 58% resolution direction = the trade.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.70+46.9%
Daily swing high$71,999.90+8.1%
8H swing high$69,265.10+4.0%
Price at reading$66,633.00snapshot
Daily pivot low$64,934.50-2.5%
8H pivot low$64,934.50-2.5%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-10.2%
Daily invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.