Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Expanding 8H · Contracting Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 50% · Bull trend

8HEXPANDINGDailyCONTRACTINGWeeklyBEARISH
$68,322.00Reading 2026-03-31Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureEXPACONTBEAR
Seismic11.3BEAR12.1BEAR8.9BEAR
OI sentimentSHRTS COVROI 6.48%SHRTS COVROI 6.48%SHRTS COVROI 6.49%
RealPnL Z0.3NEUTRAL0.1NEUTRAL-0.2NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX51 / 2147 / 1635 / 36
+DI / −DI19.7 / 23.420 / 24.611.2 / 27.5
Lev Press252724
RSI div6%BULL0%7%BULL
OI div40%COVR RLLY40%COVR RLLY40%COVR RLLY
Vol div0%0%EXHAUST0%
Funding proxy13%NEUTRAL22%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0.07%FLAT0.04%USDT BEAR0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp79.2%comp 279.5%comp 1100%
ADX turn7%COILING18%COILING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers-2.4 / 3-4 / 5-4 / 3
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$71,999.90$64,934.50$71,999.90$65,589.80$97,895.70$59,846.00
Invalidation—$0.00risk 0%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D67,471 / 69,04767,471 / 69,04667,471 / 69,046
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-31

Reading #20. BTC $68,322 — up +2.9% from last reading ($66,427 on Mar 29). The squeeze from Reading #19 fired — price bounced from the $65,513 low to $68,560 high, reclaiming both the 1H EMA24 ($67,471) and approaching the daily EMA24 ($69,046). MAJOR STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H flipped BEARISH→EXPANDING again — the bounce created HH 71999.9 (unchanged from prior) but the HL/LL dropped to 64934.5 (new low, below the 65513 from Reading #19). The EXPANDING structure reflects a widening range with unresolved direction. Daily flipped BULLISH→CONTRACTING — the range is tightening with HH 71999.9 and HL 65589.8. This is a compression structure that precedes a breakout. The daily BULLISH structure from Readings #16-19 has ended. Weekly BEARISH unchanged. OI REGIME SHIFT: OI Score dropped from +14.84% to +6.48% EX. OI Sentiment flipped from LNGS ENTR to SHRTS COVR across all three timeframes — shorts are covering into the rally, which is the classic squeeze mechanic. OI Div dropped from 100% SQZ SETUP to 40% COVR RLLY on all TFs — the squeeze has partially fired and is now in the covering rally phase. Buildup dropped from ELEVATED→LOW across all TFs as leverage pressure released (52-54 EXTREME→24-27 NORMAL). The squeeze fuel that was building in Readings #18-19 has been consumed. Seismic dropped significantly: 8H 34.5→11.3, daily 34→12.1, weekly 20.7→8.9. All three flipped from BULL→BEAR bias. The internal pressure that was building for a bullish move has been released — the bounce happened, and now the Seismic is resetting. RSI recovered: 8H 36→51 (back to neutral), daily 41→47, weekly 32→35 (still oversold but recovering). ADX profile: 8H dropped 24→21 with COILING at 7% (was ENGAGING at 4%). Daily ADX 17→16, still COILING at 18%. Weekly ADX 36, TRENDING. All lower TF ADX readings are extremely low — directionless compression. Price is now above the 1H EMA24 ($67,471) but still below the daily EMA24 ($69,046). The EMA gap has narrowed from $2,792 to $1,575 — price is approaching the daily EMA from below. REGIME: POST-SQUEEZE COMPRESSION. The squeeze from Reading #19 fired as predicted and produced a $3K bounce. The fuel has been consumed (OI Div 100→40%, buildup ELEVATED→LOW, Seismic 34→11). The question now is whether this was a dead cat bounce within a larger bearish trend, or the start of a genuine recovery. The daily CONTRACTING structure and extremely low ADX readings (16-21) suggest a period of range compression before the next directional move. Key levels: break above daily EMA24 $69,046 = bullish continuation toward $72K, rejection from $69K area = range-bound or bearish resumption, break below $65,513 8H LL = bearish structure confirmed.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.70+43.3%
Daily swing high$71,999.90+5.4%
8H swing high$71,999.90+5.4%
Price at reading$68,322.00snapshot
Daily pivot low$65,589.80-4.0%
8H pivot low$64,934.50-5.0%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-12.4%
Daily invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.