Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Contracting 8H · Bullish Daily · Bearish Weekly · Neutral confluence 57% · Bull trend

8HCONTRACTINGDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$80,291.00Reading 2026-05-13Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureCONTBULLBEAR
Seismic14.8BULL22BULL10.2BULL
OI sentimentLNGS EXITOI 8.9%LNGS EXITOI 8.9%LNGS EXITOI 8.9%
RealPnL Z-0.89NEUTRAL0.11NEUTRAL0.11NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exportedBelow0 / 0—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX49 / 3559 / 3349 / 28
+DI / −DI0 / 00 / 00 / 0
Lev Press282928
RSI div0%0%0%
OI div56%SQZ SETUP56%SQZ SETUP56%SQZ SETUP
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy6%NEUTRAL5%NEUTRAL0%N/A
Basis0%FLAT0%FLAT0%FLAT
ATR comp81%66%113%
ADX turn0%TRENDING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 30 / 40 / 1
GravityWell12.9BELOW EQ-2ABOVE EQ-0.6ABOVE EQ
Thrust / Gravity50 / 2424 / 2019 / 21
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$82,420.00$79,149.00$82,798.00$74,907.00$97,895.00$59,046.00
Invalidation$0.00risk 0%$0.00risk 0%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH000
EMA 1h / EMA D80,775 / 78,62480,774 / 78,62380,773 / 78,623
OI bars since———
gravityWell.orbit12.9-2-0.6
gravityWell.gravLn000
gravityWell.signal000
gravityWell.priceBELOW EQABOVE EQABOVE EQ
gravityWell.gravity242021
gravityWell.decay000
gravityWell.thrust502419
gravityWell.adx353328
gravityWell.volMom000
gravityWell.atrEx000
gravityWell.extBars000
gravityWell.devSR000

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-05-13

Reading #39. BTC $80,291 — down -0.79% from R#38 ($80,934). Six days since last reading. Major sentiment and structural shifts underneath minimal price change. KEY CHANGES: OI SENTIMENT FLIPPED SHRTS ENTR → LNGS EXIT across ALL THREE TFs — the shorts who entered at R#38 have been absorbed and now longs are exiting. This is the third sentiment regime in the cycle: LNGS ENTR (R#35-37) → SHRTS ENTR (R#38) → LNGS EXIT (R#39). Longs giving up is often a late-stage capitulation signal. OI DIV SURGED 0% → 56% on all TFs with SQZ SETUP flag — after the complete flush at R#38, divergence has rebuilt rapidly. Combined with LNGS EXIT sentiment, this creates a classic squeeze setup: weak hands are exiting while OI divergence suggests hidden positioning. 8H SEISMIC REBOUNDED 3.9 → 14.8 BULL — recovered from near-zero exhaustion. Seismic bias flipped from NEUTRAL to BULL, suggesting sell exhaustion has reset and buyers are re-engaging. DAILY SEISMIC JUMPED 12.3 → 22 BULL — significant increase, also flipped to BULL bias. Both 8H and daily seismic now reading bullish momentum building. WEEKLY SEISMIC 0 → 10.2 BULL — even the macro frame is showing life. All three TFs now have BULL bias — first time since the rally began. 8H GRAVITY ORBIT REVERSED: -14.7 ABOVE EQ → 12.9 BELOW EQ — price dropped below the 8H gravity equilibrium. This is the biggest single-reading shift in the gravity data. Price below equilibrium on the 8H with thrust (50) far exceeding gravity (24) creates a slingshot setup — momentum is strong but price is in discount territory. Daily GRAV -2 ABOVE EQ and weekly -0.6 ABOVE EQ remain above equilibrium. HH/LH EXPANDED on 8H: 77870 → 82420 (+$4,550) — a new higher high was made on the 8H, despite the CONTRACTING label. HL ALSO LIFTED: 74907 → 79149 — both sides of the range moved up. This is a structurally bullish development masked by the CONTRACTING regime label. Daily HH also expanded: 79438 → 82798. LEVERAGE PRESSURE DROPPED: 36→28 (8H), 37→29 (daily), 35→28 (weekly) — leverage continues to decline from R#35-37 excess. Sub-30 LP with rising OI Div is the cleanest setup for a move. 8H ADX DROPPED 43→35 — trend strength weakening, but this often precedes a new directional move after a consolidation. STRUCTURES UNCHANGED — 8H CONTRACTING, Daily BULLISH, Weekly BEARISH. No breaks. The $79,149 8H HL is the key support. CLARITY ACT CATALYST: Senate Banking Committee markup vote is TOMORROW (May 14, 10:30 AM ET). Clean passage is bullish for entire crypto complex. Polymarket at 62% odds. If it passes, the squeeze setup (OI Div 56%, LNGS EXIT, Seismic BULL all TFs) could trigger a violent move up. REGIME: PRE-CATALYST COIL. Price barely moved (-0.79%) over 6 days while internal momentum rebuilt from complete exhaustion (R#38) to BULL bias on all three TFs. OI Div at 56% with SQZ SETUP everywhere. Leverage cleaned out. Thrust exceeding gravity on 8H. This is the calm before a directional move — the CLARITY vote tomorrow is the spark. KEY WATCHES: (1) CLARITY Act markup vote May 14 — binary catalyst, (2) OI Div 56% SQZ SETUP on all TFs — squeeze coil, (3) Seismic BULL on all three TFs — first time all aligned bullish, (4) 8H thrust 50 vs gravity 24 with price BELOW EQ — slingshot setup, (5) 8H HL $79,149 — invalidation level for the bullish case.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.00+21.9%
Daily swing high$82,798.00+3.1%
8H swing high$82,420.00+2.7%
Price at reading$80,291.00snapshot
8H pivot low$79,149.00-1.4%
Daily pivot low$74,907.00-6.7%
Weekly pivot low$59,046.00-26.5%
8H invalidation$0.00-100.0%
Daily invalidation$0.00-100.0%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

OnChain composite details

ComponentScoreRankRaw
sopr000
active00—
newAddr00—
fees00—
hash00—
sends00—

Composite 0 vs signal 0.

All OnChain fields
composite
0
signal
0

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.