Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bullish 8H & Daily · Bearish Weekly · Bullish confluence 71% · Bull trend

8HBULLISHDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$71,289.00Reading 2026-03-18Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBULLBULLBEAR
Seismic11.2BULL16BULL12.6BULL
OI sentimentLNGS EXITOI 9.28%LNGS EXITOI 9.28%SHRTS ENTROI 9.28%
RealPnL Z-1.6DISCOUNT0.4NEUTRAL-0.5NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX48 / 2952 / 2535 / 36
+DI / −DI22.3 / 21.828.2 / 20.412.1 / 28.4
Lev Press303129
RSI div0%0%14%BEAR
OI div51%SQZ SETUP51%SQZ SETUP51%SQZ SETUP
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy4%NEUTRAL46%SHRTS PAY0%N/A
Basis-0.02%FLAT-0.01%FLAT0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp86.6%comp 1088.9%comp 3141.4%
ADX turn0%TRENDING0%TRENDING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 20 / 20 / 2
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$75,980.00$65,590.80$74,019.10$65,590.80$97,950.00$59,800.00
Invalidation—$64,278.98risk 9.83%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D72,323 / 70,54072,322 / 70,54072,322 / 70,540
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-18

Reading #14. BTC $71,289 — down -3.6% from yesterday ($73,932). The FLUSH RSK predicted by reading #13 played out. Price rejected at the $74,019 daily HH and flushed through long liquidation levels we identified on the 7-day heatmap ($72,400-73,200). KEY STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H BULLISH maintained but HH pushed significantly higher 73883→75980 before the rejection — price actually hit $75,980 intraday (new HH) then reversed hard. HL still at 65590. 8H DI nearly converged: +DI 29.5→22.3 vs -DI 10.7→21.8 — near-parity, similar to the Mar 10 inflection point where DI parity preceded the breakout. 8H ADX 33→29, declining from peak — trend weakening. 8H Seismic dropped 19.8→11.2 but flipped BEAR→BULL — the internal bias reversed despite the price drop, which is a constructive signal. 8H RealPnL plunged to -1.60 DISCOUNT — deepest discount reading in tracker history, meaning cost basis holders are in significant pain. OI Div shifted 80% FLUSH RSK→51% SQZ SETUP across all three TFs simultaneously — the flush completed and new squeeze fuel is building. OI Sent flipped SHRTS ENTR→LNGS EXIT on 8H and daily — longs exiting (capitulation), classic bottom signal when combined with SQZ SETUP. Daily BULLISH maintained — HH 74019, HL 65590 unchanged. Daily +DI 31.1→28.2, -DI 15.8→20.4 — gap narrowing but +DI still leads. Daily RSI 59→52, back to neutral. Daily Seismic 22.5→16.0, dropped but maintained BULL bias (was BEAR yesterday). Daily funding still SHRTS PAY 46%. Daily ATR Comp 10%→3%, 88.9% — volatility still below average. Weekly BEARISH unchanged. Weekly Seismic 17.9→12.6 but flipped BEAR→BULL — significant: all three TFs now showing BULL Seismic bias despite the selloff. Weekly RSI Div 14% BEAR still active. Weekly OI Sent: SHRTS ENTR (new shorts entering on weekly = squeeze fuel accumulating). CRITICAL PATTERN: All three TFs flipped Seismic to BULL simultaneously during the selloff. OI Div moved to SQZ SETUP across all TFs. RealPnL hit DISCOUNT on 8H (-1.60). These are the exact conditions that preceded the Mar 3 rally ($68K→$75K). The flush cleared the overleveraged longs, new shorts are entering (squeeze fuel), and internal pressure is rebuilding bullishly. Price is sitting at $71,289 — above the D EMA24 ($70,540) which is acting as support. The 1H EMA24 ($72,322) is now overhead resistance. REGIME: POST-FLUSH RECOVERY SETUP. The flush was healthy — it cleared the ELEVATED/EXTREME leverage readings back to LOW, purged the FLUSH RSK OI Div, and reset Seismic to constructive BULL bias. The bot fleet is pyramiding buys through this dip. Watching for: (a) hold above D EMA24 $70,540 = constructive, (b) reclaim 1H EMA24 $72,322 = bullish, (c) break below $65,590 8H HL = structure failure.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,950.00+37.4%
8H swing high$75,980.00+6.6%
Daily swing high$74,019.10+3.8%
Price at reading$71,289.00snapshot
Daily pivot low$65,590.80-8.0%
8H pivot low$65,590.80-8.0%
Daily invalidation$64,278.98-9.8%
Weekly pivot low$59,800.00-16.1%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.