Crypto · Indicator journal · 46 readings since 2026-02-19

BTC Structure Tracker

Bullish 8H & Daily · Bearish Weekly · Bullish confluence 67% · Bull trend

8HBULLISHDailyBULLISHWeeklyBEARISH
$70,783.00Reading 2026-03-20Manual snapshot, not live

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Signals

Signal8HDailyWeekly
StructureBULLBULLBEAR
Seismic18.3BULL21.9BULL15.7BULL
OI sentimentLNGS ENTROI 8.88%LNGS ENTROI 8.88%LNGS ENTROI 8.88%
RealPnL Z-0.2NEUTRAL0.2NEUTRAL-0.6NEUTRAL
OnChain vs signal—not exported—not exported—not exported
Early warningNoneNoneNone
Show all indicators
Signal8HDailyWeekly
RSI / ADX48 / 2350 / 2335 / 36
+DI / −DI17.6 / 1925.3 / 22.312.3 / 28.1
Lev Press333432
RSI div0%0%14%BULL
OI div68%CAPITULTN68%CAPITULTN68%CAPITULTN
Vol div0%0%0%
Funding proxy30%NEUTRAL52%SHRTS PAY0%N/A
Basis-0.02%FLAT-0.01%FLAT0.05%USDT BEAR
ATR comp86.4%comp 1183%comp 15100%
ADX turn4%COILING4%COILING0%TRENDING
Bias / Layers0 / 20 / 20 / 2
GravityWell———
Thrust / Gravity— / —— / —— / —
Reporter confluence———
Last high / low$75,980.00$65,589.80$74,029.60$65,589.80$97,895.70$59,846.00
Invalidation—$64,278.00risk 9.17%—
Potential HH / HL— / —— / —— / —
Buildup / Buy zoneLOWLOWLOW
ROC / dist. from HH———
EMA 1h / EMA D70,269 / 70,50370,268 / 70,50270,267 / 70,501
OI bars since———

Rows below “Early warning”-style curated rows include every other field exported for this reading, unedited.

Journal note · HOLD

Read the note for 2026-03-20

Reading #16. BTC $70,783 — up +0.8% from yesterday ($70,192). First green close in 3 days, but still well below the $75,980 HH. The coil is tightening. KEY STRUCTURAL CHANGES: 8H BULLISH maintained — HH 75980, HL 65589 unchanged. 8H -DI still leading +DI (19.0 vs 17.6) but the gap narrowed from yesterday (22.3 vs 18.0) — bears losing momentum. 8H ADX declined further 26→23 — directional energy draining, classic pre-breakout compression. 8H Seismic edged up 17.6→18.3 BULL — steady internal pressure building. 8H ADX Turn appeared at 4% COILING — matches daily, both TFs now showing coiling. Daily BULLISH maintained — HH 74029, HL 65589 unchanged. Daily +DI (25.3) still leads -DI (22.3) — daily momentum remains bullish unlike 8H. Daily ADX held at 23, same as 8H — both TFs at identical low ADX suggesting coordinated compression. Daily Seismic 22.4→21.9 BULL — essentially flat, holding elevated. Daily funding rose 47→52% SHRTS PAY — shorts paying even more to stay short, maximum squeeze fuel. Daily ATR Comp tightened further 82→83% — still below average. Daily ADX Turn still 4% COILING — sustained compression signal. Weekly BEARISH unchanged (HH 97895, HL 59846). Weekly RSI improved slightly 34→35. Weekly RSI Div maintained 14% BULL. Weekly Seismic 15.7 BULL unchanged. Weekly Basis shifted 0.047→0.049% USDT BEAR — marginal. PERSISTENT PATTERN (3 consecutive readings): All 3 TFs showing 68% CAPITULTN OI Div + BULL Seismic bias + LNGS ENTR. This triple-confirmation pattern has been stable for 3 days now — the longest sustained CAPITULTN + BULL Seismic alignment in tracker history. Previous CAPITULTN readings (Mar 6) resolved with an $8K rally over 11 days. Price holding right at EMA convergence: 1H EMA24 ($70,269) ≈ D EMA24 ($70,503) ≈ current price ($70,783). The EMAs are now nearly identical — tightest convergence in the tracker. Both 8H and daily showing ADX Turn COILING simultaneously — another first. REGIME: DEEP COIL. The compression is multi-layered: ADX declining on both 8H and daily (both at 23), ATR below average (83-86%), ADX Turn COILING on both lower TFs, DI converging on 8H, price pinned to EMA convergence. SHRTS PAY 52% on daily is the highest in the tracker — shorts are paying premium to stay short into a coil with CAPITULTN OI Div and BULL Seismic. This is the most compressed reading set since tracking began. Resolution should be directional and significant. Watching for: (a) 8H +DI recrossing above -DI = bullish resolution confirmed, (b) daily HH break above 74029 = breakout, (c) break below 65589 8H HL = structure failure.

Key levels

Weekly swing high$97,895.70+38.3%
8H swing high$75,980.00+7.3%
Daily swing high$74,029.60+4.6%
Price at reading$70,783.00snapshot
Daily pivot low$65,589.80-7.3%
8H pivot low$65,589.80-7.3%
Daily invalidation$64,278.00-9.2%
Weekly pivot low$59,846.00-15.5%

Dots are spaced to scale; labels are nudged apart where levels are close. Percentages are distance from the price at this reading.

History charts

Agreement of the weighted checks (structure, DI, Seismic bias, OI div, layers). Higher = more of them point the same way; above 60% it is labelled bullish/bearish.

0255075100no readings · 127 days60%Mar 2026AprMayJunJulAugSepOctNov2026-02-19 · Tracker confluence: 542026-02-20 · Tracker confluence: 482026-02-24 · Tracker confluence: 432026-02-25 · Tracker confluence: 622026-02-26 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-03 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-04 · Tracker confluence: 582026-03-06 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-10 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-10-eve · Tracker confluence: 382026-03-14 · Tracker confluence: 432026-03-15 · Tracker confluence: 482026-03-17 · Tracker confluence: 462026-03-18 · Tracker confluence: 712026-03-19 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-20 · Tracker confluence: 672026-03-25 · Tracker confluence: 392026-03-26 · Tracker confluence: 332026-03-29 · Tracker confluence: 502026-03-31 · Tracker confluence: 502026-04-03 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-05 · Tracker confluence: 482026-04-09 · Tracker confluence: 452026-04-10 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-12 · Tracker confluence: 522026-04-16 · Tracker confluence: 622026-04-17 · Tracker confluence: 672026-04-20 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-22 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-23 · Tracker confluence: 582026-04-24 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-26 · Tracker confluence: 552026-04-27 · Tracker confluence: 652026-05-02 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-03 · Tracker confluence: 482026-05-04 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-05 · Tracker confluence: 462026-05-07 · Tracker confluence: 352026-05-13 · Tracker confluence: 572026-05-20 · Tracker confluence: 472026-09-24 · Tracker confluence: 502026-09-26 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-02 · Tracker confluence: 382026-10-12 · Tracker confluence: 352026-10-14 · Tracker confluence: 572026-11-01 · Tracker confluence: 52
Tracker confluenceHatched = no readings in that span; x-axis is true calendar time.
Data notes

Prices and indicators are manual snapshots from uploaded chart screenshots and CSV exports. They are not live and are not updated automatically.

Glossary
SwingFlow structure
The trend state reported by the SwingFlow / Structure Reporter overlay from the sequence of swing highs and lows on that timeframe: BULLISH, BEARISH, CONTRACTING (swings narrowing) or EXPANDING (swings widening). A forming candle's state can still change before it closes.
Seismic
A momentum-energy reading from the CS Waves family. Bigger numbers mean a more energetic move; BULL/BEAR is the direction it leans. Recent exports include an alert threshold (34) above which the move counts as unusually strong.
OI sentiment
Combines the change in futures open interest with price direction: LNGS ENTR (longs entering), SHRTS ENTR (shorts entering), SHRTS COVR (shorts covering) or LNGS EXIT (longs exiting). Here, entering longs and covering shorts are shown green; entering shorts and exiting longs red.
RealPnL Z
A z-score of realized profit and loss: how unusual profit-taking or loss-taking is compared with its own history. Labels: DISCOUNT (low), NEUTRAL, PREMIUM (high). The original tracker shaded ≤ −0.5 as discount and ≥ +1.5 as premium.
OnChain vs signal
The standalone BTCOnChain composite blends scored on-chain components (SOPR, active addresses, new addresses, fees, hash rate, sends) and is compared with its own signal line. Composite above signal is shown green, below red.
Early warning
A flag the Structure Reporter raises when it sees a possible structure change before it is confirmed (for example “BULL?”). Blank means no warning.
Tracker confluence
This page's own score, using the original tracker's formula: across 8H/Daily/Weekly it weighs structure (3), +DI vs −DI (1), Seismic bias (2), OI divergence (1) and layers (1), then takes the larger of the bullish and bearish shares. Only above 60% is it called bullish or bearish; otherwise neutral.
Regime
From the last five readings' daily structure: 3+ bullish = Bull trend, 3+ bearish = Bear trend, 3+ contracting/expanding = Chop / range, otherwise transitioning.
GravityWell
A Reporter overlay that measures where price sits relative to an equilibrium (“well”), with thrust and gravity components. Exported well score / orbit values are scores, not percent distances.
Lev Press
Leverage pressure: how stretched derivatives leverage looks, with labels such as ELEVATED, HIGH or EXTREME. Very high readings across timeframes mean crowded positioning.
RSI / ADX / DI
Classic momentum (RSI), trend strength (ADX) and direction (+DI vs −DI). −DI above +DI leans bearish, +DI above −DI bullish.
OI div / Vol div / RSI div
Divergence scores (0–100%) between price and open interest, volume or RSI. 50%+ is treated as significant; labels show the direction (e.g. BULL, EXHAUST UP).
Funding / Basis
Funding-rate proxy and futures basis (premium of futures over spot) as exported by the Reporter, with its labels such as SHRTS PAY or USDT^ BEAR.
Bias / Layers
The Reporter's directional bias score and how many of its layers agree (0–5+). The tracker formula treats 5+ layers as supportive and 1–2 as weak.
Reporter confluence
The Structure Reporter's own signed confluence percentage. It is separate from this page's Tracker confluence.
Reference levels
Last swing high (HH) and pivot low (HL) exported by SwingFlow on each timeframe. They are reference levels the indicator tracks, not stop or target recommendations.

Indicators are from the TheurgyLabs CryptoStatus overlay / CS Waves family. Descriptions are general and based on the exported field names and labels.

Research journal only, not investment advice. Readings are manual snapshots and are not updated live.